Super El Niño: Understanding the Gendered Impact and Aid Challenges (2026)

The impending 'super' El Niño event, a natural climate phenomenon, casts a long shadow over the lives of women in East and Southern Africa. Walter Mwasaa, the regional director of CARE International, paints a stark picture of the challenges ahead. In his view, the climate crisis and its impacts, such as droughts and increased rainfall, will disproportionately affect women, who often bear the brunt of societal expectations and responsibilities.

Mr. Mwasaa's concerns are not unfounded. Research supports his belief, showing a 40% rise in child marriage in Bangladesh due to climate-induced disasters. In Somaliland, girls are forced to walk for hours to fetch water, missing out on education. These are just a few examples of the hidden costs of climate change, which often disproportionately affect the most vulnerable.

The impact of El Niño extends beyond immediate health challenges. It threatens food security and incomes, particularly for smallholder farmers, who make up a significant portion of the African agricultural sector. With global agricultural output projected to take a massive hit, the consequences for communities reliant on agriculture are dire. As Mr. Mwasaa points out, mothers will work tirelessly to provide for their families, often sacrificing their own well-being in the process.

Climate adaptation efforts further complicate the situation. While necessary, these initiatives divert resources from programs aimed at improving women's economic opportunities. Mr. Mwasaa emphasizes the importance of supporting communities in accessing markets, education, and improved farming practices to reduce their dependence on food relief. However, the reality is that emergency relief and climate-resilient measures often take precedence, leaving women and girls with fewer opportunities.

The situation is exacerbated by devastating aid cuts. CARE's programming in the region has been significantly reduced, with budgets shrinking from $250 million to just $140 million. The impact is felt most acutely in countries like Ethiopia and Somalia, where health and nutrition centers have closed, leaving pregnant women and malnourished children without essential care. Mr. Mwasaa highlights the challenge of attracting private sector partners to fill the funding gap, acknowledging the difficulty of finding products from rich countries that are both needed and affordable in African markets.

Despite the challenges, Mr. Mwasaa remains hopeful, citing increased pan-African cooperation and a growing focus on food security. He believes that this sense of ownership and collaboration will be crucial for development efforts in the years to come. However, the road ahead is fraught with difficulties, and the impact of the super El Niño on women's lives will be a critical test of the region's resilience and adaptability.

Super El Niño: Understanding the Gendered Impact and Aid Challenges (2026)
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